Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.684050 20.131049 22.800261 25.929157 29.498085 33.444111 38.140992
2024-10-27 14.076751 17.225465 20.918259 25.573152 31.291505 38.096689 46.825420
2024-11-03 11.919365 15.570521 20.142940 26.299948 34.392493 44.692587 58.841597
2024-11-10 10.327745 14.344652 19.694926 27.361965 38.103954 52.675073 74.039345
2024-11-17 8.762517 12.894752 18.728154 27.594714 40.793390 59.814390 89.492914
2024-11-24 7.194710 11.179379 17.121177 26.669452 41.722518 64.699125 102.737296
2024-12-01 5.942918 9.722256 15.658154 25.715217 42.461268 69.463298 116.774291
2024-12-08 5.085766 8.739114 14.768883 25.516174 44.375715 76.433307 135.761564
2024-12-15 4.457218 8.027057 14.205027 25.764610 47.097966 85.249044 159.682559
2024-12-22 3.887695 7.320347 13.534589 25.712760 49.294982 93.565321 184.422725
2024-12-29 3.534962 6.948575 13.403163 26.632070 53.472361 106.292785 220.179437
2025-01-05 3.144732 6.438278 12.927930 26.806979 56.244258 116.839108 253.793372
2025-01-12 2.705238 5.767861 12.055952 26.088761 57.205520 124.213519 283.017517
2025-01-19 2.373093 5.262216 11.435091 25.791636 59.032098 133.827195 319.481811
2025-01-26 2.173774 5.009739 11.311056 26.575164 63.457191 150.129556 375.363669
2025-02-02 2.019921 4.832899 11.325812 27.690554 68.913389 169.988570 444.729408
2025-02-09 1.828655 4.534103 11.009540 27.960079 72.392553 185.857810 507.874974
2025-02-16 1.595741 4.091896 10.274510 27.048517 72.707424 193.887904 552.197799
2025-02-23 1.394054 3.692386 9.576052 26.100634 72.750739 201.272666 596.720451
2025-03-02 1.254954 3.431548 9.187594 25.914578 74.867248 214.806444 662.707136
2025-03-09 1.151641 3.248864 8.974528 26.179931 78.347550 233.000589 747.642673
2025-03-16 1.048159 3.047004 8.673956 26.137565 80.929085 249.172163 830.546756
2025-03-23 0.990086 2.965661 8.699983 27.080970 86.759083 276.582667 957.856020